What's this all about?

The Bracket Matrix tries to collect most bracketologists' opinions of how the NCAA Men's Basketball tournament bracket will look like each year.  This page measures how closely each bracketologist matched the work of the selection committee. This emphasizes seeding more than picking the correct teams in the field since 80-90% of bracketologists miss 2 or fewer teams every year.

Using the final results from past matrices, each site was graded based on a scoring system made by Paymon at PHSports.  This rubric awards 3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team either seeded correctly or within one seed line. With 68 teams, a perfect score is 408.  The variance section of the data table below lists the absolute deviation between each score and the mean for that particular year.  Thus, a 10 point variance means that site's bracket scored 10 points higher than the average bracket that year.

Please remember that these are in essence the final exam grades.  The true value of a good bracketologist lies in how much preparation he or she does leading up to the final exam including watching games, making mock brackets, looking at computer rankings, comparing blind resumes, taking questions from ESPN personalities (okay, that's just Lunardi), interacting with the fans to incite debate, and in the end, figuring out how the committee will put together the official bracket.  Of course, in most courses, final exams count the most, so with that being said, here are the results.  Bracketologists have been split into two groups: one group contains sites that have participated for at least 3 years.  The second group shows everybody else.  All bracketologists must have submitted a bracket in 2015 to be on this list.


     
YEAR 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015  
AVG SCORE 284.4 285.9 309.1 303.6 303.5 311.4 327.2 323.5 330.3 326.5   AVERAGE YEARS IN
  VARIANCE   MATRIX
THE BRACKET MATRIX     2.6 -2.9 23.9 6.4 7.5 6.6 14.8 22.5 5.7 11.5   9.85 10
                             
BRACKET VETERANS - 3 YEARS or MORE                            
1 Assembly Call - Andy Bottoms AC               20.8 15.5 10.7 7.5   13.62 4
2 1-3-1 Sports 1-3-1               12.8 18.5 9.7 10.5   12.87 4
3 Bradley01 Bracketology BSB1                 5.5 15.7 11.5   10.91 3
4 Dre's Mock Bracket Dre               7.8 13.5 14.7 6.5   10.62 4
5 Sports News Huddle SNH                 17.5 0.7 13.5   10.57 3
6 Kyle Foster's Bracketology Kyle               18.8 5.5 6.7 10.5   10.37 4
7 Roundball Chat RBC               15.8 12.5 6.7 3.5   9.62 4
8 D1scourse/Syracuse.com - Patrick Stevens PS       9.9 -2.6 17.5 14.6 13.8 2.5 10.7 9.5   9.49 8
9 M+J's Bracket Watch MJ               8.8 -1.5 19.7 10.5   9.37 4
10 Beer's Bracket Beer         1.4 15.5 13.6 5.8   11.7 7.5   9.25 6
11 Bracketville BV         12.4 18.5 1.6 -0.2 2.5 8.7 20.5   9.14 7
12 Syracusefan7's Bracketology SF7               8.8 7.5 10.7 8.5   8.87 4
13 Lobofan2003's Bracketology Lobo         3.4 11.5 9.6 22.8 6.5 2.7 4.5   8.71 7
14 Busting the Bracket - Jeff Borzello BtBr   10.6 1.1 23.9 8.4 9.5 6.6 0.8 7.5 5.7 11.5   8.55 10
15 Jabesblog Jabe           -0.5 15.6 -6.2 20.5 10.7 9.5   8.25 6
16 Wild Bill's Bracketology Wild               -1.2 12.5 10.7 10.5   8.12 4
17 Primetime Bracketology - HTTV HTTV           3.5 13.6 -1.2 11.5 13.7 3.5   7.42 6
17 Bazinga Bracketology JH           -9.5 6.6 18.8 5.5 15.7 7.5   7.42 6
19 VDG Bracket Prediction VDG                 5.5 7.7 8.5   7.24 3
20 68&16 College Sportscast 68&16             17.6 -0.2 7.5 18.7 -9.5   6.81 5
21 Brackonomics Brack           11.5 7.6 7.8 6.5 -2.3 7.5   6.42 6
21 Brad-ketology Brad           6.5 11.6 1.8 -2.5 8.7 12.5   6.42 6
23 Big Underdog BU               -0.2 0.5 19.7 5.5   6.37 4
24 Blogging the Bracket SBN       13.9 3.4 -7.5 8.6 -2.2 4.5 15.7 12.5   6.11 8
25 The Bracket Project BP   6.6 25.1 3.9 7.4 3.5 14.6 -10.2 -5.5 13.7 -1.5   5.75 10
26 Feature Presentation Online FPO     -8.9   3.4 6.5   6.8 12.5   11.5   5.30 6
27 Bracket WAG WAG     7.1 16.9 6.4 -13.5 11.6 9.8 0.5 12.7 -5.5   5.11 9
28 Busting Bracketologists - CJ CJ         9.4 -4.5 -0.4 3.8 18.5 7.7 -1.5   4.71 7
29 Blacketology blac               2.8 6.5 9.7 -0.5   4.62 4
30 Kentucky Sports Online KSO             -1.4 16.8 -5.5 6.7 6.5   4.61 5
31 Ivar's Blog Ivar             13.6 -5.2 5.5 6.7 1.5   4.41 5
32 VTS Bracketmaker VTS         5.4 2.5 4.6 -2.2 -4.5 9.7 14.5   4.28 7
33 Bucky's Bracket Bucky           6.5 4.6 -1.2 -1.5 1.7 15.5   4.25 6
34 The Steelers n'at TSN                 -1.5 3.7 10.5   4.24 3
35 The Sports Bank TSB           -2.5 6.6 -1.2 10.5 9.7 0.5   3.92 6
36 ESPN Bracketology - Joe Lunardi ESPN   11.6 -10.9 -2.1 3.4 -3.5 -1.4 4.8 6.5 8.7 16.5   3.35 10
37 Stuck in 1977 1977               1.8 9.5 -0.3 1.5   3.12 4
38 LAOJoe's Bracketology Joe           14.5 -4.4 3.8 0.5 0.7 3.5   3.09 6
38 Oak Creek's March Madness Oak           -17.5 -6.4 7.8 19.5 2.7 12.5   3.09 6
40 MAG MAG   8.6 0.1 4.9 -10.6 1.5 1.6 10.8 15.5 -0.3 -2.5   2.95 10
41 TK's Bracket Breakdown BBB         0.4 -4.5 -0.4 4.8 8.5 2.7 7.5   2.71 7
42 RFS Bracket Science RFS             11.6 -20.2 14.5 3.7 3.5   2.61 5
43 Jason Wells' Bracketology JW               -6.2 8.5 5.7 -1.5   1.62 4
44 FOX Sports - Stewart Mandel FOX   -4.4 -3.9 2.9             10.5   1.27 4
45 Bracket March - Rusty Tutton Mar-RT                 -8.5 -2.3 14.5   1.24 3
46 Yahoo Sports - Brad Evans Yahoo       8.9 -10.6 4.5 4.6 5.8 2.5 5.7 -11.5   1.24 8
47 Bracket Mensa BM           8.5 1.6 -11.2 6.5 -5.3 6.5   1.09 6
48 March Madness '15 MM15     -13.9 -14.1 5.4 1.5 8.6 3.8 7.5 11.7 -1.5   1.00 9
49 Primetime Bracketology - Buckeye PTB-B           5.5 -4.4 6.8 9.5 6.7 -18.5   0.92 6
50 Rocco Miller's Bracketology RM                 -6.5 0.7 8.5   0.91 3
51 Rock M Nation Rock         -3.6 -2.5 1.6 -4.2 9.5 -7.3 11.5   0.71 7
52 Warren Nolan WN   12.6 -4.9 -5.1 3.4 -0.5 -13.4 -2.2 -1.5 0.7 17.5   0.65 10
53 Schmolik 64 S64   6.6 -1.9 -6.1 6.4 -12.5 1.6 10.8 13.5 -3.3 -11.5   0.35 10
54 Crashing the Dance CtD     -12.9 -13.1 2.4 5.5 7.6 -9.2 2.5 5.7 14.5   0.33 9
55 College Sports Vault EDGE               -8.2 -7.5 18.7 -2.5   0.12 4
56 CBS Sports - Jerry Palm CBS   -7.4   0.9 11.4 8.5 -10.4 1.8 -1.5 -5.3 1.5   -0.06 9
57 Chop Culture Chop           -0.5 1.6 4.8 -5.5 4.7 -6.5   -0.25 6
58 The Catch & Shoot - Jesse Kramer C&S           -9.5 -4.4 3.8 -2.5 3.7 6.5   -0.41 6
59 The Bracket Bracketology Mania                 -7.5 -2.3 8.5   -0.43 3
60 Crimson Cast CC     8.1 -9.1       -0.2 -1.5   0.5   -0.44 5
61 Regan NCAA Tournament Index Regan               -2.2 6.5 -4.3 -4.5   -1.13 4
62 Basketball Predictions BaP     1.1 -12.1 -7.6 2.5 -5.4 -6.2 6.5 -6.3 13.5   -1.56 9
63 Bracketological Excellence BE             4.6 -12.2 -7.5 9.7 -2.5   -1.59 5
64 Man with a Spreadsheet Man                 -5.5 -3.3 0.5   -2.76 3
64 The Big Lead - Jason Lisk Lead                 -10.5 -4.3 6.5   -2.76 3
66 Brackets by Bret Bret               4.8 -8.5 -2.3 -5.5   -2.88 4
67 Daily Bracket DB           2.5 -9.4 3.8 -9.5 -1.3 -4.5   -3.08 6
67 BEISketbol BEIS           -24.5 -11.4 6.8 -5.5 5.7 10.5   -3.08 6
69 Crotistics Cro               -5.2 -21.5 17.7 -6.5   -3.88 4
70 Bracket Odds Brodd                 -1.5 -0.3 -10.5   -4.09 3
71 Bracket Predictions BrP   4.6 -5.9 7.9 -5.6 -2.5 -1.4 -9.2 -8.5 -1.3 -20.5   -4.25 10
72 Kerry Miller's Bracketology BR-KM             -10.4 -17.2 1.5 10.7 -6.5   -4.39 5
73 Bracketville USA BUSA           4.5 -4.4 3.8 -5.5 -14.3 -11.5   -4.58 6
74 Brack Attack BA         -16.6 -5.5 -7.4 7.8 -14.5 -11.3 14.5   -4.72 7
75 Bracketography/Team Rankings TR   8.6 -8.9 8.9 21.4 -19.5 2.6 4.8 -19.5 -28.3 -25.5   -5.55 10
76 Howard Salwasser's BracketHouse House   -12.4 5.1 -9.1 -0.6 -0.5 -14.4 -17.2     2.5   -5.83 8
77 660 Sports (Beat the Experts) 660     5.1 -11.1 -8.6 -14.5   -3.2 -6.5 -19.3 9.5   -6.08 8
78 HoopsHD HHD                 -12.5 -9.3 3.5   -6.09 3
79 The Sporting News - Ryan Fagan SN         -5.6 -0.5 -17.4 -6.2 -1.5 -21.3 5.5   -6.72 7
80 SportsRatings SR             6.6 -15.2 -10.5 -4.3 -10.5   -6.79 5
81 Jason Taylor's Tournament Picks JT                 3.5 -5.3 -19.5   -7.09 3
82 Seed Madness Seed           -12.5 -16.4 -6.2 -1.5 -11.3 -6.5   -9.08 6
83 Real Time RPI Real           -8.5 -15.4 -3.2 -15.5 -18.3 -7.5   -11.41 6
84 The Amateur Bracketologist TAB                 -12.5 -1.3 -22.5   -12.09 3
85 G Money's Sports Page GM                 1.5 -21.3 -20.5   -13.43 3
86 Here's to the ACC ACC               -16.2 -5.5 -18.3 -14.5   -13.63 4
87 D Ratings DII                 -12.5 -14.3 -21.5   -16.09 3
88 96 Madness 96M               -14.2 -26.5 -12.3 -24.5   -19.38 4
89 nropp.com nropp                 -18.5 -26.3 -14.5   -19.76 3
                               
BRACKET NEWBIES - 2 YEARS or LESS     2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015      
1 NH Brackets NH                     15.5   15.52 1
1 The Left Bench TLB                     15.5   15.52 1
3 Ruckles Bracketology RB                   8.7 18.5   13.60 2
4 College Hoops Daily CHD                   9.7 14.5   12.10 2
5 KY Brackets KY                     10.5   10.52 1
6 The Nickel Dimer ND                   15.7 0.5   8.10 2
7 One Man Selection Committee OMC                     7.5   7.52 1
8 Bowman's Bracketology Bow                   15.7 -1.5   7.10 2
8 Your Average College Student YACS                   9.7 4.5   7.10 2
10 SocklessJoeLeeDunn's Bracketology SJLD               0.8     10.5   5.64 2
11 Gade Pool Gade                     5.5   5.52 1
12 Random Bracket Blog RBB                   2.7 5.5   4.10 2
13 Bracketball Bball                   -1.3 8.5   3.60 2
14 Runner on Fifth RoF                     3.5   3.52 1
15 Busting Brackets Bust                     1.5   1.52 1
15 isportsweb ISW                     1.5   1.52 1
15 Professional Realist PR                     1.5   1.52 1
15 The Bracket Site TBS                     1.5   1.52 1
15 Wilson Rankings WR                     1.5   1.52 1
20 Roto Experts - Adam Zdroik Roto                   -10.3 10.5   0.10 2
21 Aidan's Bracketology Aidan                     -0.5   -0.48 1
21 New York Daily News - Ian Powers NYDN                     -0.5   -0.48 1
21 The Sports Network Snet                     -0.5   -0.48 1
24 Deuce 2 Sports D2S                   -12.3 7.5   -2.40 2
25 Bracketology CBB CBB                     -2.5   -2.48 1
25 RSN Bracketology RSN                     -2.5   -2.48 1
25 White and Blue Review - The Bracketeer WBR                     -2.5   -2.48 1
28 Drew's Bracketology Drew                   1.7 -8.5   -3.40 2
29 HoundSports Hound                     -3.5   -3.48 1
30 ncaabracketology brac                   1.7 -14.5   -6.40 2
30 Sports Illustrated - Michael Beller SI                   -9.3 -3.5   -6.40 2
32 Dudes on Sports DoS                   7.7 -21.5   -6.90 2
33 TD Brackets TD                     -8.5   -8.48 1
34 Brackets, Brackets, Brackets! BBB!                     -10.5   -10.48 1
34 Bordering on Wisdom BoW                     -10.5   -10.48 1
36 Bracket March - Jeff Kotlarczyk Mar-JK                     -10.5   -10.48 1
37 Bafana Bafana Bracketology BBCB                   -9.3 -14.5   -11.90 2
38 CU Buffs Bball CU                   -33.3 8.5   -12.40 2
39 March Madness 365 MM365                     -12.5   -12.48 1
40 Explorertown Bracketologist EB                   -9.3 -17.5   -13.40 2
41 Badger Nation/Scout - Kyle Reichert BN                   -13.3 -14.5   -13.90 2
42 Shoegonebad Shoe                     -14.5   -14.48 1
43 All Important Charlie Power 68 CP68                     -19.5   -19.48 1
44 KPI Rankings KPI                   -35.3 -7.5   -21.40 2
45 Patrick's Bracketology PB                     -22.5   -22.48 1
46 TN Bracket Forecast TN                     -23.5   -23.48 1
47 Mark's Bracketology Mark                     -29.5   -29.48 1
48 #pcbb - Providence College Basketball pcbb                     -30.5   -30.48 1
Questions, comments, or mistakes should be mailed to bracketproject@gmail.com